Printing press+widespread religious behavior: A theory

Derek Jones from The Shape of Code

The book The Weirdest People in the World: How the West Became Psychologically Peculiar and Particularly Prosperous provides an explanation of the processes which weakened the existing social ties of family and tribe; however, the emergence of WEIRD people (Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich and Democratic) required new social norms to spread and be accepted throughout society. A major technical innovation, in the form of the printing press, provided the means for mass communication of ideas and practices.

David High-Jones’ book Wyclif’s Dust: Western Cultures from the Printing Press to the Present describes the social consequences of what he calls book religion; a combination of deeply religious western societies and the ability of individuals to write and sell affordable books (made possible by the printing press). Religion+printing press created the conditions for what High-Jones calls a hothouse culture, a period from the 1600s to the end of the 1800s.

Around 1440 the printing press is invented and quickly spreads; around 5 million books were handwritten in the 1400s, about 80 million books were produced in the first 50 years of printing, and around a billion in the 1700s. During the 1500s the Protestant reformation happens; Protestant encouraged its followers to read the Bible, which creates a demand for printed Bibles and the need to be able to read (which increases literacy rates). In England, between 1480-1640, 40% of published books were religious.

The changes to society’s existing norms are wrought by cultural transmission, initially via middle class parents making use of edifying books to teach their children moral values and social skills, later Sunday schools took on this role, but also had to offer reading lessons to attract members. In the adult world, accepted norms were maintained by social enforcement. The impact on western societies was widespread because observant religious behavior was widespread.

The original intent, of those writing the religious books, was the creation of a god fearing society. In practice, a trust based society was created, where workers might be relied upon not to shirk their duties and businessmen to not renege on agreements.

In the beginning science, in the form of printed technical books, rarely made an appearance. In the 1700s the Enlightenment happens, and scientific books are discussed by small collections of disparate individuals. The industrial revolution happens, but the bulk of the demand is for trustworthy workers; technical and scientific know how remains a minority interest.

In Part I of the book, High-Jones weaves a reading and convincing narrative. Part II, 1900 to today, is a tale of the crumbling and breakdown of the social forces and incentives that creates the trust based society; while example are enumerated, no overarching theory is proposed (I skimmed this part).

Looking for a measurable impact from developer social learning

Derek Jones from The Shape of Code

Almost everything you know was discovered/invented by other people. Social learning (i.e., learning from others) is the process of acquiring skills by observing others (teaching is explicit formalised sharing of skills). Social learning provides a mechanism for skills to spread through a population. An alternative to social learning is learning by personal trial and error.

When working within an ecosystem that changes slowly, it is more cost-effective to learn from others than learn through trial and error (assuming that experienced people are available to learn from, and the learner is capable of identifying them); “Social Learning” by Hoppitt and Layland analyzes the costs and benefits of using social learning.

Since its inception, much of software engineering has been constantly changing. In a rapidly changing ecosystem, the experience of established members may suggest possible solutions that do not deliver the expected results in a changed world, i.e., social learning may not be a cost-effective way of building a skill set applicable within the new ecosystem.

Opportunities for social learning occur wherever developers tend to congregate.

When I started writing software people, developers would print out a copy of their code to take away and correct/improve/add-to (this was when 100+ people were time-sharing on a computer with 256K words of memory, running at 1 MHz). People would cluster around the printer, which ran sufficiently slowly that it was possible, in real-time, to read the code and figure out what was going on; it was possible to learn from others code (pointing out mistakes in programs that people planned to hand in was not appreciated). Then personal computers became available, along with low-cost printers (e.g., dot matrix), which were often shared, and did not print so fast that an experienced developer could not figure things out in real-time. Then laser printers came along, delivering a page at a time every 15 seconds, or so; experiencing the first print out from a Laser printer, I immediately knew that real-time code reading was a thing of the past (also, around this time, full-screen editors achieved the responsiveness needed to enthral developers, paper code listings could not compete). A regular opportunity for social learning disappeared.

Mentoring and retrospectives are intended as explicit (perhaps semi-taught) learning contexts, in which social learning opportunities may be available.

The effectiveness of social learning is dependent on being able to select a good enough source of expertise to learn from. Choosing the person with the highest prestige is a common social selection technique; selecting web pages appearing on the first page of a Google search is actually a form of conformist learning (i.e., selecting what others have chosen).

It is possible to point at particular instances of social learning in software engineering, but to what extent does social learning, other than explicit teaching, contribute to developer skills?

Answering this question requires enumerating all the non-explicitly taught skills a developer uses to get the job done, excluding the non-developer specific skills. A daunting task.

Is it even possible to consistently distinguish between social learning (implicit or taught) and individual learning?

For instance, take source code indentation. Any initial social learning is likely to have been subsequently strongly influenced by peer pressure, and default IDE settings.

Pronunciation of operator names is a personal choice that may only ever exist within a developer’s head. In my head, I pronounce the ^ operator as up-arrow, because I first encountered its use in the book Algorithms + Data Structures = Programs which used the symbol , which appears as the ^ character on modern keyboards. I often hear others using the word caret, which I have to mentally switch over to using. People who teach themselves to program have to invent names for unfamiliar symbols, until they hear somebody speaking code (the widespread availability of teach-yourself videos will make it rare to need for this kind of individual learning; individual learning is giving way to social learning).

The problem with attempting to model social learning is that much of the activity occurs in private, and is not recorded.

One public source of prestigious experience is Stack Overflow. Code snippets included as part of an answer on Stack Overflow appear in around 1.8% of Github repositories. However, is the use of this code social learning or conformist transmission (i.e., copy and paste)?

Explaining social learning to people is all well and good, but having to hand wave when asked for a data-driven example is not good. Suggestions welcome.

Learning useful stuff from the Cognitive capitalism chapter of my book

Derek Jones from The Shape of Code

What useful, practical things might professional software developers learn from the Cognitive capitalism chapter in my evidence-based software engineering book?

This week I checked the cognitive capitalism chapter; what useful things did I learn (combined with everything I learned during all the other weeks spent working on this chapter)?

Software systems are the product of cognitive capitalism (more commonly known as economics).

My experience is that most software developers don’t know anything about economics, so everything in this chapter is likely to be new to them. The chapter is more tutorial like than the other chapters.

Various investment models are discussed. The problem with these kinds of models is obtaining reliable data. But, hopefully the modelling ideas will prove useful.

Things I learned about when writing the chapter include: social learning, group learning, and Open source licensing is a mess.

Building software systems usually requires that many of the individuals involved to do lots of learning. How do people decide what to learn, e.g., copy others or strike out on their own? This problem is not software specific, in fact social learning appears to be one of the major cognitive abilities that separates us from other apes.

Organizational learning and forgetting is much talked about, and it was good to find some data dealing with this. Probably not applicable to most people.

Open source licensing is a mess in that software containing a variety of, possible incompatible, licenses often gets mixed together. What future lawsuits await?

For me, potentially the most immediately useful material was group learning; there are some interesting models for how this sometimes works.

Readers might have a completely different learning experience from reading the cognitive capitalism chapter. What useful things did you learn from the cognitive capitalism chapter?

Cognitive capitalism chapter reworked

Derek Jones from The Shape of Code

The Cognitive capitalism chapter of my evidence-based software engineering book took longer than expected to polish; in fact it got reworked, rather than polished (which still needs to happen, and there might be more text moving from other chapters).

Changing the chapter title, from Economics to Cognitive capitalism, helped clarify lots of decisions about the subject matter it ought to contain (the growth in chapter page count is more down to material moving from other chapters, than lots of new words from me).

I over-spent time down some interesting rabbit holes (e.g., real options), before realising that no public data was available, and unlikely to be available any time soon. Without data, there is not a lot that can be said in a data driven book.

Social learning is a criminally under researched topic in software engineering. Some very interesting work has been done by biologists (e.g., Joseph Henrich, and Kevin Laland), in the last 15 years; the field has taken off. There is a huge amount of social learning going on in software engineering, and virtually nobody is investigating it.

As always, if you know of any interesting software engineering data, please let me know.

Next, the Ecosystems chapter.